The effect of host population genetic diversity on variation in metrics of parasite success

Abstract

Note: Now published in Ecology and Evolution at https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.73660 ............................................................. Original Abstract: Conventional wisdom suggests that populations with lower levels of genetic diversity are at a greater risk of the more harmful effects of disease. However, previous attempts to qualify this proposition have focused on measuring the mean, rather than the variability, in metrics of parasite success. Since the ability of host population genetic diversity to limit the spread of disease requires some specificity between hosts and parasites, and the benefits of host population genetic diversity in resistance to infection may depend on the respective parasite population genetic diversity, we propose a diversity-uncertainty model which predicts that the mean and variability in parasite success depend on a combination of host range and parasite population genetic diversity. By re-analyzing a dataset combining 48 studies collected by previous meta-analyses, we show that the effect of host population genetic diversity reduces the mean success of single-host, but not host generalist, parasites. We find evidence for our original hypothesis that the variability of parasite success depends on a combination of host population genetic diversity, parasite population genetic diversity and host range. Together, these results challenge conventional wisdom and have important implications for how genetic diversity can be better managed in host populations.